Latest National Weather Service ensemble models and extended forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 in the 82-83°F range, aligning with the top market-implied odds of 45.5% as trader consensus reflects climatological normals for mid-April—typically 81-83°F highs amid subtropical stability. Current ENSO-neutral conditions, favored at 80% through June per NOAA, support these seasonal patterns by limiting anomalous cold fronts or heat waves, while light winds and sea breeze moderation cap extremes. Over the past 48 hours, guidance has converged without notable shifts from typical humidity and isolated showers, though urban heat island effects at official Miami stations introduce minor uncertainty. Afternoon NWS updates tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 16?
82-83°F 44%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
13%
86°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 44%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
67°F or below
$505 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$297 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$330 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$197 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$663 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$311 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$454 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$263 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$485 Vol.
44%
84-85°F
$376 Vol.
13%
86°F or higher
$506 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service ensemble models and extended forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 in the 82-83°F range, aligning with the top market-implied odds of 45.5% as trader consensus reflects climatological normals for mid-April—typically 81-83°F highs amid subtropical stability. Current ENSO-neutral conditions, favored at 80% through June per NOAA, support these seasonal patterns by limiting anomalous cold fronts or heat waves, while light winds and sea breeze moderation cap extremes. Over the past 48 hours, guidance has converged without notable shifts from typical humidity and isolated showers, though urban heat island effects at official Miami stations introduce minor uncertainty. Afternoon NWS updates tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$4,315Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service ensemble models and extended forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 in the 82-83°F range, aligning with the top market-implied odds of 45.5% as trader consensus reflects climatological normals for mid-April—typically 81-83°F highs amid subtropical stability. Current ENSO-neutral conditions, favored at 80% through June per NOAA, support these seasonal patterns by limiting anomalous cold fronts or heat waves, while light winds and sea breeze moderation cap extremes. Over the past 48 hours, guidance has converged without notable shifts from typical humidity and isolated showers, though urban heat island effects at official Miami stations introduce minor uncertainty. Afternoon NWS updates tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,315Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service ensemble models and extended forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 in the 82-83°F range, aligning with the top market-implied odds of 45.5% as trader consensus reflects climatological normals for mid-April—typically 81-83°F highs amid subtropical stability. Current ENSO-neutral conditions, favored at 80% through June per NOAA, support these seasonal patterns by limiting anomalous cold fronts or heat waves, while light winds and sea breeze moderation cap extremes. Over the past 48 hours, guidance has converged without notable shifts from typical humidity and isolated showers, though urban heat island effects at official Miami stations introduce minor uncertainty. Afternoon NWS updates tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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