Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 19 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 19 de julio?
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F o menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 Vol.
$51,443 Vol.
19 jul 2026
57°F o menos
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Sí
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F o más
No
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F o menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 Vol.
$51,443 Vol.
19 jul 2026
57°F o menos
$1,517 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$925 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,196 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,156 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$9,472 Vol.
Sí
66-67°F
$10,740 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$8,192 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,430 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,385 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,285 Vol.
No
76°F o más
$7,146 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$51,443Fecha de finalización
19 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51,443Fecha de finalización
19 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes