Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Miami highs on July 19 will likely reach the low 90s, driven by typical mid-July subtropical conditions with ample moisture, light steering flow, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms. These convective patterns often cap peak temperatures near or slightly above the 89–90°F July average while preventing stronger heat buildup, consistent with the market-implied 43.5% probability on 92–93°F and 31.5% on 90–91°F. Recent thunderstorm activity through July 17–18 has reinforced this moderation, though any reduction in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow readings to edge into the mid-90s.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 19 de julio?
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F o menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$31,439 Vol.
$31,439 Vol.
83°F o menos
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Sí
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F o más
No
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F o menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$31,439 Vol.
$31,439 Vol.
83°F o menos
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Sí
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Miami highs on July 19 will likely reach the low 90s, driven by typical mid-July subtropical conditions with ample moisture, light steering flow, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms. These convective patterns often cap peak temperatures near or slightly above the 89–90°F July average while preventing stronger heat buildup, consistent with the market-implied 43.5% probability on 92–93°F and 31.5% on 90–91°F. Recent thunderstorm activity through July 17–18 has reinforced this moderation, though any reduction in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow readings to edge into the mid-90s.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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