Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 3.8%
NUEVO
$43,552 Vol.
NUEVO
$43,552 Vol.
15 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
33%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 40%
20°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 3.8%
NUEVO
$43,552 Vol.
NUEVO
$43,552 Vol.
15 abr 2026
13°C or below
$5,693 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,900 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,261 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,975 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,630 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,460 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,438 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5,150 Vol.
33%
21°C
$3,282 Vol.
40%
22°C
$2,615 Vol.
26%
23°C or higher
$4,656 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$43,552Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$43,552Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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