Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Panama City at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (22.5%) and 34°C (18.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest forecast models from GFS and ECMWF, which cluster peaks between 32–34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal model shifts after yesterday's observations of 33.2°C, with low wind speeds (under 10 km/h) and high humidity (70–80%) enhancing heat index but sea breeze potential differentiating outcomes—stronger onshore flow could cap at 32°C, while weaker inflows allow 34°C+. Instituto de Meteorología guidance aligns near 33°C; watch afternoon satellite imagery and 00Z model runs for resolution-defining cloud cover. Historical April averages (32°C) provide context, but current upper-level warmth tilts hotter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 17 de abril?
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
35°C 11%
NUEVO
$10,534 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,534 Vol.
17 abr 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
11%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
35°C 11%
NUEVO
$10,534 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,534 Vol.
17 abr 2026
28°C o menos
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,167 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,515 Vol.
4%
32°C
$412 Vol.
23%
33°C
$519 Vol.
32%
34°C
$379 Vol.
18%
35°C
$612 Vol.
11%
36°C
$354 Vol.
4%
37°C
$929 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$992 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Panama City at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (22.5%) and 34°C (18.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest forecast models from GFS and ECMWF, which cluster peaks between 32–34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal model shifts after yesterday's observations of 33.2°C, with low wind speeds (under 10 km/h) and high humidity (70–80%) enhancing heat index but sea breeze potential differentiating outcomes—stronger onshore flow could cap at 32°C, while weaker inflows allow 34°C+. Instituto de Meteorología guidance aligns near 33°C; watch afternoon satellite imagery and 00Z model runs for resolution-defining cloud cover. Historical April averages (32°C) provide context, but current upper-level warmth tilts hotter.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$10,534Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Panama City at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (22.5%) and 34°C (18.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest forecast models from GFS and ECMWF, which cluster peaks between 32–34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal model shifts after yesterday's observations of 33.2°C, with low wind speeds (under 10 km/h) and high humidity (70–80%) enhancing heat index but sea breeze potential differentiating outcomes—stronger onshore flow could cap at 32°C, while weaker inflows allow 34°C+. Instituto de Meteorología guidance aligns near 33°C; watch afternoon satellite imagery and 00Z model runs for resolution-defining cloud cover. Historical April averages (32°C) provide context, but current upper-level warmth tilts hotter.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,534Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Panama City at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (22.5%) and 34°C (18.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest forecast models from GFS and ECMWF, which cluster peaks between 32–34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal model shifts after yesterday's observations of 33.2°C, with low wind speeds (under 10 km/h) and high humidity (70–80%) enhancing heat index but sea breeze potential differentiating outcomes—stronger onshore flow could cap at 32°C, while weaker inflows allow 34°C+. Instituto de Meteorología guidance aligns near 33°C; watch afternoon satellite imagery and 00Z model runs for resolution-defining cloud cover. Historical April averages (32°C) provide context, but current upper-level warmth tilts hotter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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