Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 32°C or higher (72.5%) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 18, driven by ensemble forecast models including GFS and ECMWF indicating highs near 33°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating during the late dry season. Recent observations over the past week show sustained highs of 33–35°C with negligible rainfall, aligning with April climatological averages around 32°C where temperatures rarely dip below 30°C due to Panama's equatorial location and trade wind suppression of convection. Lower probabilities for 30–31°C (11–16%) account for minor risks of patchy clouds or enhanced sea breeze moderation, while new 12Z model updates later today could refine these implied odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 16%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
73%
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 16%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
22°C or below
$305 Vol.
1%
23°C
$241 Vol.
1%
24°C
$110 Vol.
1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
1%
26°C
$70 Vol.
2%
27°C
$20 Vol.
2%
28°C
$37 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C or higher
$40 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 32°C or higher (72.5%) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 18, driven by ensemble forecast models including GFS and ECMWF indicating highs near 33°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating during the late dry season. Recent observations over the past week show sustained highs of 33–35°C with negligible rainfall, aligning with April climatological averages around 32°C where temperatures rarely dip below 30°C due to Panama's equatorial location and trade wind suppression of convection. Lower probabilities for 30–31°C (11–16%) account for minor risks of patchy clouds or enhanced sea breeze moderation, while new 12Z model updates later today could refine these implied odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$933Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 32°C or higher (72.5%) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 18, driven by ensemble forecast models including GFS and ECMWF indicating highs near 33°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating during the late dry season. Recent observations over the past week show sustained highs of 33–35°C with negligible rainfall, aligning with April climatological averages around 32°C where temperatures rarely dip below 30°C due to Panama's equatorial location and trade wind suppression of convection. Lower probabilities for 30–31°C (11–16%) account for minor risks of patchy clouds or enhanced sea breeze moderation, while new 12Z model updates later today could refine these implied odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$933Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 32°C or higher (72.5%) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 18, driven by ensemble forecast models including GFS and ECMWF indicating highs near 33°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating during the late dry season. Recent observations over the past week show sustained highs of 33–35°C with negligible rainfall, aligning with April climatological averages around 32°C where temperatures rarely dip below 30°C due to Panama's equatorial location and trade wind suppression of convection. Lower probabilities for 30–31°C (11–16%) account for minor risks of patchy clouds or enhanced sea breeze moderation, while new 12Z model updates later today could refine these implied odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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