Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a mild southwesterly flow over northern France on September 3, 2026, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This pattern, driven by a broad trough and modest warm advection, places Paris several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3 °C while remaining well below heatwave thresholds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited divergence among runs, which aligns with market-implied probabilities concentrating on 26–28 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and surface observations through September 2 will further constrain the precise peak value ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 3 de septiembre?
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C or below 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
25°C or below
13%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
18%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C or below 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
25°C or below
$1,015 Vol.
13%
26°C
$2,272 Vol.
28%
27°C
$313 Vol.
39%
28°C
$331 Vol.
18%
29°C
$477 Vol.
6%
30°C
$216 Vol.
2%
31°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a mild southwesterly flow over northern France on September 3, 2026, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This pattern, driven by a broad trough and modest warm advection, places Paris several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3 °C while remaining well below heatwave thresholds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited divergence among runs, which aligns with market-implied probabilities concentrating on 26–28 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and surface observations through September 2 will further constrain the precise peak value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,829Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a mild southwesterly flow over northern France on September 3, 2026, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This pattern, driven by a broad trough and modest warm advection, places Paris several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3 °C while remaining well below heatwave thresholds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited divergence among runs, which aligns with market-implied probabilities concentrating on 26–28 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and surface observations through September 2 will further constrain the precise peak value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,829Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a mild southwesterly flow over northern France on September 3, 2026, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This pattern, driven by a broad trough and modest warm advection, places Paris several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3 °C while remaining well below heatwave thresholds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited divergence among runs, which aligns with market-implied probabilities concentrating on 26–28 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and surface observations through September 2 will further constrain the precise peak value ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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