Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 7 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 7 de mayo?
19°C 100.0%
11°C o menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 Vol.
$282,616 Vol.
7 may 2026
11°C o menos
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C o más
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C o menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 Vol.
$282,616 Vol.
7 may 2026
11°C o menos
$1,817 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,276 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,825 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,590 Vol.
No
15°C
$11,141 Vol.
No
16°C
$22,109 Vol.
No
17°C
$17,765 Vol.
No
18°C
$68,179 Vol.
No
19°C
$81,590 Vol.
Sí
20°C
$26,056 Vol.
No
21°C o más
$35,266 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$282,616Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$282,616Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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