Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 23?
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$224,649 Vol.
$224,649 Vol.
23 abr 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$224,649 Vol.
$224,649 Vol.
23 abr 2026
8°C or below
$3,953 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,235 Vol.
No
10°C
$4,212 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,907 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,772 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,915 Vol.
No
14°C
$32,832 Vol.
No
15°C
$26,828 Vol.
No
16°C
$45,887 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$54,724 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$35,384 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$224,649Fecha de finalización
23 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$224,649Fecha de finalización
23 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to 16°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, backed by official observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's standard reference station. Hourly METAR reports from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned sources like NOAA logged peak surface temperatures of 61°F (16.1°C) around mid-afternoon amid northerly winds, lingering cold air masses, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent cool anomalies, including 18°C on April 22, deviating below April's climatological average high of 19°C due to post-frontal cooling. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading from auxiliary stations, though evening cooling and final tallies render this improbable; resolution awaits CMA's official daily summary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes