Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature in Taipei on September 2 likely in the 29–32°C range, with high humidity, easterly winds, and 60–90% chance of showers or thunderstorms suppressing peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread but notes potential for brief afternoon clearing that could push readings toward 33–34°C if precipitation timing shifts later. Traders appear to weigh historical September baselines near 30–32°C against short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture, creating tight odds between 33°C and 35°C outcomes while discounting extremes below 32°C or above 36°C absent major forecast revisions.