Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in February 2026 during the Iran war has left his official X account (@khamenei_ir) focused on archival statements, mourning observances, and institutional messaging rather than frequent new content from the late leader. The period August 7–14 falls during routine Arbaeen-related commemorations with no major diplomatic, military, or domestic crises reported that would prompt additional releases. Trader pricing for under five posts aligns with the account’s established low-volume pattern in the post-assassination period, where activity centers on scheduled religious observances and limited official updates. Higher buckets reflect scenarios involving unexpected escalations or coordinated messaging from successor institutions, though current conditions show no catalysts for such volume.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 73%
5-9 24%
10-14 3.6%
25-29 3.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
<5
73%
5-9
24%
10-14
4%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
3%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 73%
5-9 24%
10-14 3.6%
25-29 3.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
<5
$2,856 Vol.
73%
5-9
$377 Vol.
24%
10-14
$229 Vol.
4%
15-19
$113 Vol.
2%
20-24
$112 Vol.
2%
25-29
$122 Vol.
3%
30-34
$112 Vol.
1%
35-39
$117 Vol.
1%
40-44
$112 Vol.
1%
45-49
$122 Vol.
1%
50-54
$122 Vol.
1%
55-59
$180 Vol.
<1%
60+
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in February 2026 during the Iran war has left his official X account (@khamenei_ir) focused on archival statements, mourning observances, and institutional messaging rather than frequent new content from the late leader. The period August 7–14 falls during routine Arbaeen-related commemorations with no major diplomatic, military, or domestic crises reported that would prompt additional releases. Trader pricing for under five posts aligns with the account’s established low-volume pattern in the post-assassination period, where activity centers on scheduled religious observances and limited official updates. Higher buckets reflect scenarios involving unexpected escalations or coordinated messaging from successor institutions, though current conditions show no catalysts for such volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$4,836Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in February 2026 during the Iran war has left his official X account (@khamenei_ir) focused on archival statements, mourning observances, and institutional messaging rather than frequent new content from the late leader. The period August 7–14 falls during routine Arbaeen-related commemorations with no major diplomatic, military, or domestic crises reported that would prompt additional releases. Trader pricing for under five posts aligns with the account’s established low-volume pattern in the post-assassination period, where activity centers on scheduled religious observances and limited official updates. Higher buckets reflect scenarios involving unexpected escalations or coordinated messaging from successor institutions, though current conditions show no catalysts for such volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,836Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in February 2026 during the Iran war has left his official X account (@khamenei_ir) focused on archival statements, mourning observances, and institutional messaging rather than frequent new content from the late leader. The period August 7–14 falls during routine Arbaeen-related commemorations with no major diplomatic, military, or domestic crises reported that would prompt additional releases. Trader pricing for under five posts aligns with the account’s established low-volume pattern in the post-assassination period, where activity centers on scheduled religious observances and limited official updates. Higher buckets reflect scenarios involving unexpected escalations or coordinated messaging from successor institutions, though current conditions show no catalysts for such volume.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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