Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, triggering a leadership transition to his son Mojtaba Khamenei, who has remained largely absent from public view due to reported injuries sustained in the same operation. The official @khamenei_ir account has since focused on archival quotes and occasional commemorative material rather than new statements, with recent activity limited to a handful of historical reposts around Arbaeen observances and funeral-related content in July. This pattern, combined with the new leader’s low public profile amid ongoing regional tensions and succession stabilization, underpins trader consensus that the account will generate minimal fresh output during the resolution window, favoring the lowest bin as the dominant outcome.