Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light showers that limit radiational cooling under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where typical lows hover near 13–14°C amid moderating maritime air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold advection, while the elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects tail risks from potential clearer skies or model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will refine dew point and wind profiles critical to the final minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 2 de septiembre?
16°C 97%
9°C or below 94%
14°C 51%
15°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C or below
94%
10°C
13%
11°C
14%
12°C
15%
13°C
36%
14°C
51%
15°C
50%
16°C
97%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
15%
16°C 97%
9°C or below 94%
14°C 51%
15°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
94%
10°C
$63 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
14%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
97%
17°C
$20 Vol.
20%
18°C
$5 Vol.
19%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light showers that limit radiational cooling under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where typical lows hover near 13–14°C amid moderating maritime air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold advection, while the elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects tail risks from potential clearer skies or model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will refine dew point and wind profiles critical to the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$98Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light showers that limit radiational cooling under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where typical lows hover near 13–14°C amid moderating maritime air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold advection, while the elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects tail risks from potential clearer skies or model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will refine dew point and wind profiles critical to the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$98Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and light showers that limit radiational cooling under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where typical lows hover near 13–14°C amid moderating maritime air. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold advection, while the elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects tail risks from potential clearer skies or model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will refine dew point and wind profiles critical to the final minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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