**Forecasts from multiple sources indicate the overnight low in Austin on September 3, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WillyWeather pegs the low near 76–77°F, with highs in the mid-90s, consistent with a broader warm pattern. Historical averages for the date hover around 71°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across bins because ensemble models show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on cloud cover, wind gusts (5–10 mph south), and any late-day shower activity. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler clearing versus warmer, more humid nights, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Austin el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Austin el 3 de septiembre?
69°F o menos 90%
88°F o más 81%
70-71°F 49%
84-85°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
69°F o menos
90%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
49%
88°F o más
81%
69°F o menos 90%
88°F o más 81%
70-71°F 49%
84-85°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
69°F o menos
$10 Vol.
90%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
32%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
49%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
49%
88°F o más
$10 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources indicate the overnight low in Austin on September 3, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WillyWeather pegs the low near 76–77°F, with highs in the mid-90s, consistent with a broader warm pattern. Historical averages for the date hover around 71°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across bins because ensemble models show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on cloud cover, wind gusts (5–10 mph south), and any late-day shower activity. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler clearing versus warmer, more humid nights, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources indicate the overnight low in Austin on September 3, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WillyWeather pegs the low near 76–77°F, with highs in the mid-90s, consistent with a broader warm pattern. Historical averages for the date hover around 71°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across bins because ensemble models show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on cloud cover, wind gusts (5–10 mph south), and any late-day shower activity. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler clearing versus warmer, more humid nights, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple sources indicate the overnight low in Austin on September 3, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WillyWeather pegs the low near 76–77°F, with highs in the mid-90s, consistent with a broader warm pattern. Historical averages for the date hover around 71°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across bins because ensemble models show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on cloud cover, wind gusts (5–10 mph south), and any late-day shower activity. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler clearing versus warmer, more humid nights, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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