Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 21°C for Chengdu on September 3, 2026, consistent with early-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity and terrain. Subtropical high pressure is sustaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C but limiting sharp overnight drops. Trader sentiment splits between 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, local wind patterns, or basin inversion strength could push the actual minimum either cooler than guidance or closer to recent warm anomalies. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 3 de septiembre?
17°C or below 95%
27°C or higher 94%
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
17°C or below
95%
18°C
3%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
31%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
94%
17°C or below 95%
27°C or higher 94%
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
17°C or below
95%
18°C
3%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
31%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 21°C for Chengdu on September 3, 2026, consistent with early-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity and terrain. Subtropical high pressure is sustaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C but limiting sharp overnight drops. Trader sentiment splits between 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, local wind patterns, or basin inversion strength could push the actual minimum either cooler than guidance or closer to recent warm anomalies. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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