Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 3 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 8 °C or below outcome (45.5 % implied probability) as the market leader due to ensemble spread that includes cooler scenarios from enhanced radiative cooling or showers. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.3 °C while reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and modest precipitation chances that could suppress or allow further temperature drops. Updated model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 3 de septiembre?
15°C 50%
8°C or below 45%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
8°C or below
45%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
50%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C o más
6%
15°C 50%
8°C or below 45%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$4 Vol.
25%
15°C
$5 Vol.
50%
16°C
$5 Vol.
8%
17°C
$5 Vol.
3%
18°C o más
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 3 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 8 °C or below outcome (45.5 % implied probability) as the market leader due to ensemble spread that includes cooler scenarios from enhanced radiative cooling or showers. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.3 °C while reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and modest precipitation chances that could suppress or allow further temperature drops. Updated model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 3 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 8 °C or below outcome (45.5 % implied probability) as the market leader due to ensemble spread that includes cooler scenarios from enhanced radiative cooling or showers. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.3 °C while reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and modest precipitation chances that could suppress or allow further temperature drops. Updated model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 3 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 8 °C or below outcome (45.5 % implied probability) as the market leader due to ensemble spread that includes cooler scenarios from enhanced radiative cooling or showers. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.3 °C while reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and modest precipitation chances that could suppress or allow further temperature drops. Updated model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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