**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.** This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight. Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 1 de septiembre?
66-67°F 100%
57°F o menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,290 Vol.
$1,290 Vol.
1 sep 2026
57°F o menos
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Sí
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F o más
No
66-67°F 100%
57°F o menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,290 Vol.
$1,290 Vol.
1 sep 2026
57°F o menos
$106 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$90 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$19 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$107 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$195 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$71 Vol.
Sí
68-69°F
$39 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$139 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$105 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$309 Vol.
No
76°F o más
$110 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.**
This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight.
Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,290Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.**
This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight.
Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,290Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.** This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight. Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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