Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Miami's overnight low on August 3 will likely fall in the 78–81°F range, consistent with early-August subtropical climatology where sea-surface temperatures near 85°F and light winds limit radiative cooling. Typical partly cloudy skies and minimal cold-air advection further suppress diurnal temperature drops, anchoring the market's heaviest volume on 80–81°F (36%) and 78–79°F (21.5%) outcomes. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread but cluster tightly around these values, with historical Miami International Airport normals near 78°F providing the baseline. No major tropical systems or unusual atmospheric patterns are expected to alter this trajectory before the observation window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 3 de agosto?
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
12%
86°F o más
1%
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
12%
86°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Miami's overnight low on August 3 will likely fall in the 78–81°F range, consistent with early-August subtropical climatology where sea-surface temperatures near 85°F and light winds limit radiative cooling. Typical partly cloudy skies and minimal cold-air advection further suppress diurnal temperature drops, anchoring the market's heaviest volume on 80–81°F (36%) and 78–79°F (21.5%) outcomes. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread but cluster tightly around these values, with historical Miami International Airport normals near 78°F providing the baseline. No major tropical systems or unusual atmospheric patterns are expected to alter this trajectory before the observation window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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