National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 15 de junio?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$20,261 Vol.
$20,261 Vol.
15 jun 2026
67°F o menos
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sí
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o más
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$20,261 Vol.
$20,261 Vol.
15 jun 2026
67°F o menos
$2,227 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$634 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,535 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,069 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,722 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,066 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,401 Vol.
Sí
80-81°F
$2,842 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,029 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$731 Vol.
No
86°F o más
$1,005 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$20,261Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,261Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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