Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C in Paris on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and a chance of showers. This reflects a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with overnight radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest moisture. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.4°C, so current conditions favor values above the norm but with spread from minor variations in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Trader consensus clusters around these mid-range outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as resolution approaches and new model runs refine the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 30 de agosto?
22°C o más 49%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
18°C 47%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
12°C o menos
18%
13°C
20%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
47%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
49%
22°C o más 49%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
18°C 47%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
12°C o menos
$5 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
47%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C o más
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C in Paris on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and a chance of showers. This reflects a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with overnight radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest moisture. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.4°C, so current conditions favor values above the norm but with spread from minor variations in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Trader consensus clusters around these mid-range outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as resolution approaches and new model runs refine the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$15Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C in Paris on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and a chance of showers. This reflects a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with overnight radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest moisture. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.4°C, so current conditions favor values above the norm but with spread from minor variations in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Trader consensus clusters around these mid-range outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as resolution approaches and new model runs refine the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C in Paris on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and a chance of showers. This reflects a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with overnight radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest moisture. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13.4°C, so current conditions favor values above the norm but with spread from minor variations in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Trader consensus clusters around these mid-range outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as resolution approaches and new model runs refine the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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