The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 15 de abril?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 15 de abril?
10°C 95.2%
9°C 4.0%
8°C o menos <1%
NUEVO
$78,669 Vol.
NUEVO
$78,669 Vol.
16 abr 2026
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
95%
10°C 95.2%
9°C 4.0%
8°C o menos <1%
NUEVO
$78,669 Vol.
NUEVO
$78,669 Vol.
16 abr 2026
8°C o menos
$4,492 Vol.
1%
9°C
$4,260 Vol.
4%
10°C
$7,195 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Volumen
$78,669Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$78,669Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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