Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts, projecting a high of 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This follows an unseasonal mid-April heat surge, with Seoul city highs exceeding 27°C earlier this week due to warm air advection, but a cooling trend now dominates as high-pressure systems weaken and cooler continental air infiltrates. Model ensembles show slight divergence, with some runs indicating potential afternoon heating to 21°C amid low humidity and dryness advisories, while others cap at 19°C; uncertainty stems from exact cloud cover and urban heat effects at the coastal airport site. KMA's next update later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
20°C 31%
21°C or higher 29.8%
19°C 28%
18°C 13%
NUEVO
$188,417 Vol.
NUEVO
$188,417 Vol.
15 abr 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
28%
20°C
31%
21°C or higher
30%
20°C 31%
21°C or higher 29.8%
19°C 28%
18°C 13%
NUEVO
$188,417 Vol.
NUEVO
$188,417 Vol.
15 abr 2026
12°C
$10,831 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$11,649 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15,771 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,984 Vol.
1%
16°C
$16,983 Vol.
2%
17°C
$20,401 Vol.
4%
18°C
$17,570 Vol.
13%
19°C
$11,237 Vol.
28%
20°C
$8,860 Vol.
31%
21°C or higher
$32,034 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts, projecting a high of 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This follows an unseasonal mid-April heat surge, with Seoul city highs exceeding 27°C earlier this week due to warm air advection, but a cooling trend now dominates as high-pressure systems weaken and cooler continental air infiltrates. Model ensembles show slight divergence, with some runs indicating potential afternoon heating to 21°C amid low humidity and dryness advisories, while others cap at 19°C; uncertainty stems from exact cloud cover and urban heat effects at the coastal airport site. KMA's next update later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$188,417Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts, projecting a high of 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This follows an unseasonal mid-April heat surge, with Seoul city highs exceeding 27°C earlier this week due to warm air advection, but a cooling trend now dominates as high-pressure systems weaken and cooler continental air infiltrates. Model ensembles show slight divergence, with some runs indicating potential afternoon heating to 21°C amid low humidity and dryness advisories, while others cap at 19°C; uncertainty stems from exact cloud cover and urban heat effects at the coastal airport site. KMA's next update later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$188,417Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts, projecting a high of 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This follows an unseasonal mid-April heat surge, with Seoul city highs exceeding 27°C earlier this week due to warm air advection, but a cooling trend now dominates as high-pressure systems weaken and cooler continental air infiltrates. Model ensembles show slight divergence, with some runs indicating potential afternoon heating to 21°C amid low humidity and dryness advisories, while others cap at 19°C; uncertainty stems from exact cloud cover and urban heat effects at the coastal airport site. KMA's next update later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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