Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station clustering tightly around 24–26°C, driving the narrow trader consensus with 26°C at 32% implied probability edging 25°C at 28.5%. This spread stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and southerly wind strength, which could boost daytime heating via warm air advection or suppress peaks with partial overcast from lingering spring systems. Historical mid-April averages hover near 22°C, but recent southerly flow shifts support above-normal warmth; light winds up to 8 m/s limit mixing. CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the short-fuse forecast evolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
26°C 32%
25°C 30%
24°C 21%
23°C 8.3%
NUEVO
$23,304 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,304 Vol.
15 abr 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C
30%
26°C
32%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 30%
24°C 21%
23°C 8.3%
NUEVO
$23,304 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,304 Vol.
15 abr 2026
21°C or below
$4,755 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,571 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,848 Vol.
8%
24°C
$2,060 Vol.
21%
25°C
$1,748 Vol.
30%
26°C
$1,168 Vol.
32%
27°C
$2,136 Vol.
6%
28°C
$2,376 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,004 Vol.
1%
30°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$765 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station clustering tightly around 24–26°C, driving the narrow trader consensus with 26°C at 32% implied probability edging 25°C at 28.5%. This spread stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and southerly wind strength, which could boost daytime heating via warm air advection or suppress peaks with partial overcast from lingering spring systems. Historical mid-April averages hover near 22°C, but recent southerly flow shifts support above-normal warmth; light winds up to 8 m/s limit mixing. CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the short-fuse forecast evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,304Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station clustering tightly around 24–26°C, driving the narrow trader consensus with 26°C at 32% implied probability edging 25°C at 28.5%. This spread stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and southerly wind strength, which could boost daytime heating via warm air advection or suppress peaks with partial overcast from lingering spring systems. Historical mid-April averages hover near 22°C, but recent southerly flow shifts support above-normal warmth; light winds up to 8 m/s limit mixing. CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the short-fuse forecast evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,304Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station clustering tightly around 24–26°C, driving the narrow trader consensus with 26°C at 32% implied probability edging 25°C at 28.5%. This spread stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and southerly wind strength, which could boost daytime heating via warm air advection or suppress peaks with partial overcast from lingering spring systems. Historical mid-April averages hover near 22°C, but recent southerly flow shifts support above-normal warmth; light winds up to 8 m/s limit mixing. CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the short-fuse forecast evolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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