Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31.5%) and 30°C (30.0%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 14, driven by recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing morning readings in the mid-20s°C under mostly clear skies—above the April climatological average of 26°C—and forecasts from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily highs of 28-30°C amid a persistent subtropical warm spell. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze moderation and afternoon cloud development capping peaks at 29°C, versus sustained high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta pushing toward 30°C, with model ensembles showing minor divergence on cloud cover and humidity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 14?
29°C 33%
30°C 30%
28°C 23%
27°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
23%
29°C
30%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
7%
29°C 33%
30°C 30%
28°C 23%
27°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
22°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$680 Vol.
3%
24°C
$400 Vol.
1%
25°C
$359 Vol.
1%
26°C
$628 Vol.
1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
14%
28°C
$98 Vol.
23%
29°C
$15 Vol.
30%
30°C
$28 Vol.
29%
31°C
$343 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$177 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31.5%) and 30°C (30.0%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 14, driven by recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing morning readings in the mid-20s°C under mostly clear skies—above the April climatological average of 26°C—and forecasts from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily highs of 28-30°C amid a persistent subtropical warm spell. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze moderation and afternoon cloud development capping peaks at 29°C, versus sustained high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta pushing toward 30°C, with model ensembles showing minor divergence on cloud cover and humidity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volumen
$3,068Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31.5%) and 30°C (30.0%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 14, driven by recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing morning readings in the mid-20s°C under mostly clear skies—above the April climatological average of 26°C—and forecasts from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily highs of 28-30°C amid a persistent subtropical warm spell. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze moderation and afternoon cloud development capping peaks at 29°C, versus sustained high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta pushing toward 30°C, with model ensembles showing minor divergence on cloud cover and humidity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,068Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31.5%) and 30°C (30.0%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 14, driven by recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing morning readings in the mid-20s°C under mostly clear skies—above the April climatological average of 26°C—and forecasts from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily highs of 28-30°C amid a persistent subtropical warm spell. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze moderation and afternoon cloud development capping peaks at 29°C, versus sustained high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta pushing toward 30°C, with model ensembles showing minor divergence on cloud cover and humidity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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