Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (97.7% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 76°F under mostly sunny skies amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions. This aligns with an ongoing early April warm spell, including a record-tying 80°F high on April 10, well above the normal 61°F for the date per NWS Boulder records. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports continued subsidence and light winds, with Fire Weather Watches in effect for low humidity and gusts. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing cooler air, though current guidance shows low risk ahead of afternoon forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
68°F or higher 98.7%
66-67°F 1.0%
52-53°F <1%
49°F or below <1%
$25,555 Vol.
$25,555 Vol.
12 abr 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
99%
68°F or higher 98.7%
66-67°F 1.0%
52-53°F <1%
49°F or below <1%
$25,555 Vol.
$25,555 Vol.
12 abr 2026
49°F or below
$3,026 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,607 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$2,493 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,098 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,011 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,099 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,240 Vol.
1%
68°F or higher
$3,379 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (97.7% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 76°F under mostly sunny skies amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions. This aligns with an ongoing early April warm spell, including a record-tying 80°F high on April 10, well above the normal 61°F for the date per NWS Boulder records. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports continued subsidence and light winds, with Fire Weather Watches in effect for low humidity and gusts. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing cooler air, though current guidance shows low risk ahead of afternoon forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$25,555Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (97.7% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 76°F under mostly sunny skies amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions. This aligns with an ongoing early April warm spell, including a record-tying 80°F high on April 10, well above the normal 61°F for the date per NWS Boulder records. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports continued subsidence and light winds, with Fire Weather Watches in effect for low humidity and gusts. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing cooler air, though current guidance shows low risk ahead of afternoon forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,555Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (97.7% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 76°F under mostly sunny skies amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions. This aligns with an ongoing early April warm spell, including a record-tying 80°F high on April 10, well above the normal 61°F for the date per NWS Boulder records. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports continued subsidence and light winds, with Fire Weather Watches in effect for low humidity and gusts. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing cooler air, though current guidance shows low risk ahead of afternoon forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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