Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Beijing's April 13 highest temperature, with 19°C and 20°C leading at 27% and 26% implied probabilities amid latest short-range forecasts from services like AccuWeather projecting a daytime high near 20°C under thick cloud cover and a 59% chance of morning rain showers. This marks a cooldown from recent highs of 24–26°C on April 10–12, driven by light northerly winds at 2 mph shifting cooler air masses and increased cloudiness suppressing solar heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a 19–23°C spread, hinging on cloud persistence and precip realization—key variables that could tip outcomes toward 18°C if overcast holds or 21°C+ with breaks in cover. New model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 27%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 12%
$10,497 Vol.
$10,497 Vol.
13 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
21%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 27%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 12%
$10,497 Vol.
$10,497 Vol.
13 abr 2026
13°C or below
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,519 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,705 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,898 Vol.
3%
17°C
$399 Vol.
4%
18°C
$402 Vol.
21%
19°C
$202 Vol.
27%
20°C
$319 Vol.
26%
21°C
$204 Vol.
12%
22°C
$511 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$1,045 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Beijing's April 13 highest temperature, with 19°C and 20°C leading at 27% and 26% implied probabilities amid latest short-range forecasts from services like AccuWeather projecting a daytime high near 20°C under thick cloud cover and a 59% chance of morning rain showers. This marks a cooldown from recent highs of 24–26°C on April 10–12, driven by light northerly winds at 2 mph shifting cooler air masses and increased cloudiness suppressing solar heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a 19–23°C spread, hinging on cloud persistence and precip realization—key variables that could tip outcomes toward 18°C if overcast holds or 21°C+ with breaks in cover. New model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volumen
$10,497Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Beijing's April 13 highest temperature, with 19°C and 20°C leading at 27% and 26% implied probabilities amid latest short-range forecasts from services like AccuWeather projecting a daytime high near 20°C under thick cloud cover and a 59% chance of morning rain showers. This marks a cooldown from recent highs of 24–26°C on April 10–12, driven by light northerly winds at 2 mph shifting cooler air masses and increased cloudiness suppressing solar heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a 19–23°C spread, hinging on cloud persistence and precip realization—key variables that could tip outcomes toward 18°C if overcast holds or 21°C+ with breaks in cover. New model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,497Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Beijing's April 13 highest temperature, with 19°C and 20°C leading at 27% and 26% implied probabilities amid latest short-range forecasts from services like AccuWeather projecting a daytime high near 20°C under thick cloud cover and a 59% chance of morning rain showers. This marks a cooldown from recent highs of 24–26°C on April 10–12, driven by light northerly winds at 2 mph shifting cooler air masses and increased cloudiness suppressing solar heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a 19–23°C spread, hinging on cloud persistence and precip realization—key variables that could tip outcomes toward 18°C if overcast holds or 21°C+ with breaks in cover. New model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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