Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 66-67°F at 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 10, 2026, driven by official observations from the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (CLI) at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), the authoritative measurement site. Verified weather history records confirm a high of 66°F, well below the April average of 70.5°F, due to persistent marine layer clouds, onshore flow, and an approaching low-pressure system bringing cooler air and potential rain over the weekend. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects unassailable observational data from NOAA stations, with negligible room for revision barring rare data corrections in final CLI reports—scenarios that historical precedents show occur less than 1% of the time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 10?
66-67°F 100.0%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$109,071 Vol.
$109,071 Vol.
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 100.0%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$109,071 Vol.
$109,071 Vol.
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 66-67°F at 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 10, 2026, driven by official observations from the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (CLI) at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), the authoritative measurement site. Verified weather history records confirm a high of 66°F, well below the April average of 70.5°F, due to persistent marine layer clouds, onshore flow, and an approaching low-pressure system bringing cooler air and potential rain over the weekend. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects unassailable observational data from NOAA stations, with negligible room for revision barring rare data corrections in final CLI reports—scenarios that historical precedents show occur less than 1% of the time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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