Météo France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, driving the overwhelming trader consensus (99.4% implied probability) for "18°C or below." This aligns with ensemble model outputs showing limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and cool air masses from the north, consistent with April climatological averages of 14–16°C highs at Paris-Montsouris station. Historical data indicates rare spikes above 18°C this early in spring without prolonged sunshine. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing in the afternoon, boosting insolation to push readings higher at official measurement sites, though current observations through midday remain well below 15°C. Final data releases expected by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.3%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
19°C <1%
$170,237 Vol.
$170,237 Vol.
11 abr 2026
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.3%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
19°C <1%
$170,237 Vol.
$170,237 Vol.
11 abr 2026
18°C or below
$75,136 Vol.
99%
19°C
$18,938 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$19,534 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$23,309 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$12,623 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,224 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,671 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,664 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,504 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,083 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, driving the overwhelming trader consensus (99.4% implied probability) for "18°C or below." This aligns with ensemble model outputs showing limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and cool air masses from the north, consistent with April climatological averages of 14–16°C highs at Paris-Montsouris station. Historical data indicates rare spikes above 18°C this early in spring without prolonged sunshine. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing in the afternoon, boosting insolation to push readings higher at official measurement sites, though current observations through midday remain well below 15°C. Final data releases expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$170,237Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, driving the overwhelming trader consensus (99.4% implied probability) for "18°C or below." This aligns with ensemble model outputs showing limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and cool air masses from the north, consistent with April climatological averages of 14–16°C highs at Paris-Montsouris station. Historical data indicates rare spikes above 18°C this early in spring without prolonged sunshine. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing in the afternoon, boosting insolation to push readings higher at official measurement sites, though current observations through midday remain well below 15°C. Final data releases expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$170,237Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, driving the overwhelming trader consensus (99.4% implied probability) for "18°C or below." This aligns with ensemble model outputs showing limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and cool air masses from the north, consistent with April climatological averages of 14–16°C highs at Paris-Montsouris station. Historical data indicates rare spikes above 18°C this early in spring without prolonged sunshine. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing in the afternoon, boosting insolation to push readings higher at official measurement sites, though current observations through midday remain well below 15°C. Final data releases expected by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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