Latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast model runs indicate a consensus maximum temperature around 14-15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 12, driving trader sentiment with 39.5% implied probability for 14°C and 33.0% for 15°C amid high uncertainty. Persistent overcast skies from a lingering Atlantic low-pressure system, combined with light morning showers (10-20% precipitation chance), limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating, favoring cooler outcomes over the climatological April average high of 16°C. Key differentiators include timing of any afternoon cloud breaks—earlier clearing could push toward 16°C (13.5%), while sustained cloud cover caps at 14°C or below. Final 12Z model updates today and early observations will likely refine this tight race before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 12 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 12 de abril?
14°C 40%
15°C 37%
16°C 16%
13°C 7%
$40,598 Vol.
$40,598 Vol.
12 abr 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
40%
15°C
37%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C o más
1%
14°C 40%
15°C 37%
16°C 16%
13°C 7%
$40,598 Vol.
$40,598 Vol.
12 abr 2026
8°C o menos
$2,636 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,421 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,194 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5,770 Vol.
7%
14°C
$3,949 Vol.
40%
15°C
$3,110 Vol.
37%
16°C
$2,874 Vol.
16%
17°C
$3,093 Vol.
2%
18°C o más
$9,283 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast model runs indicate a consensus maximum temperature around 14-15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 12, driving trader sentiment with 39.5% implied probability for 14°C and 33.0% for 15°C amid high uncertainty. Persistent overcast skies from a lingering Atlantic low-pressure system, combined with light morning showers (10-20% precipitation chance), limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating, favoring cooler outcomes over the climatological April average high of 16°C. Key differentiators include timing of any afternoon cloud breaks—earlier clearing could push toward 16°C (13.5%), while sustained cloud cover caps at 14°C or below. Final 12Z model updates today and early observations will likely refine this tight race before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$40,598Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast model runs indicate a consensus maximum temperature around 14-15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 12, driving trader sentiment with 39.5% implied probability for 14°C and 33.0% for 15°C amid high uncertainty. Persistent overcast skies from a lingering Atlantic low-pressure system, combined with light morning showers (10-20% precipitation chance), limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating, favoring cooler outcomes over the climatological April average high of 16°C. Key differentiators include timing of any afternoon cloud breaks—earlier clearing could push toward 16°C (13.5%), while sustained cloud cover caps at 14°C or below. Final 12Z model updates today and early observations will likely refine this tight race before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$40,598Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast model runs indicate a consensus maximum temperature around 14-15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 12, driving trader sentiment with 39.5% implied probability for 14°C and 33.0% for 15°C amid high uncertainty. Persistent overcast skies from a lingering Atlantic low-pressure system, combined with light morning showers (10-20% precipitation chance), limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating, favoring cooler outcomes over the climatological April average high of 16°C. Key differentiators include timing of any afternoon cloud breaks—earlier clearing could push toward 16°C (13.5%), while sustained cloud cover caps at 14°C or below. Final 12Z model updates today and early observations will likely refine this tight race before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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