Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 13?
20°C or higher 96%
19°C 2.5%
18°C 1.4%
17°C 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
96%
20°C or higher 96%
19°C 2.5%
18°C 1.4%
17°C 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
10°C or below
$846 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,856 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$761 Vol.
1%
16°C
$514 Vol.
1%
17°C
$282 Vol.
1%
18°C
$295 Vol.
1%
19°C
$291 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$652 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volumen
$8,920Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,920Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high of 20°C or higher in Busan on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) models projecting daytime highs around 21°C under continued mild spring conditions. Recent observational data shows Busan reaching 22°C on April 11 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting solar heating, exceeding the typical April average high of 18°C. Historical climatology supports this warming trend as the Siberian high retreats, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with ensemble models showing minor spread. Key upcoming KMA short-range updates on April 12 could refine land-based temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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