National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 82°F today at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, propelled by a persistent warm, humid air mass under south-southeast winds of 5-15 mph and a ridge of high pressure aloft, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles aligning on low-80s peaks amid diminishing showers. Current observations show morning readings in the upper 60s to low 70s under mostly cloudy skies, far exceeding the 66°F threshold and consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely fall below 66°F. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in observational trends and forecast reliability. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection from a nearby front or prolonged cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though steering currents favor continued warming; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,691 Vol.
$120,691 Vol.
11 abr 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
100%
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,691 Vol.
$120,691 Vol.
11 abr 2026
47°F or below
$9,123 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,933 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$803 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,731 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,767 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,013 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,734 Vol.
<1%
66°F or higher
$89,103 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 82°F today at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, propelled by a persistent warm, humid air mass under south-southeast winds of 5-15 mph and a ridge of high pressure aloft, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles aligning on low-80s peaks amid diminishing showers. Current observations show morning readings in the upper 60s to low 70s under mostly cloudy skies, far exceeding the 66°F threshold and consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely fall below 66°F. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in observational trends and forecast reliability. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection from a nearby front or prolonged cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though steering currents favor continued warming; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volumen
$120,691Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 82°F today at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, propelled by a persistent warm, humid air mass under south-southeast winds of 5-15 mph and a ridge of high pressure aloft, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles aligning on low-80s peaks amid diminishing showers. Current observations show morning readings in the upper 60s to low 70s under mostly cloudy skies, far exceeding the 66°F threshold and consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely fall below 66°F. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in observational trends and forecast reliability. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection from a nearby front or prolonged cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though steering currents favor continued warming; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$120,691Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 82°F today at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, propelled by a persistent warm, humid air mass under south-southeast winds of 5-15 mph and a ridge of high pressure aloft, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles aligning on low-80s peaks amid diminishing showers. Current observations show morning readings in the upper 60s to low 70s under mostly cloudy skies, far exceeding the 66°F threshold and consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely fall below 66°F. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in observational trends and forecast reliability. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection from a nearby front or prolonged cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though steering currents favor continued warming; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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