National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 79-82°F in Austin on April 12, 2026, under warm and humid conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s aligning with seasonal normals around 80°F, anchoring trader consensus at an 84% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing sufficient sunshine for peak heating despite isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible this afternoon, which carry risks of increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures and boosting the 11% odds on 74-75°F. Overnight lows in the 60s support daytime recovery, with hourly observations and afternoon storm development as key variables ahead of evening resolution at official stations like Austin Bergstrom.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
76°F or higher 85%
74-75°F 11%
72-73°F 2.1%
70-71°F <1%
$40,880 Vol.
$40,880 Vol.
12 abr 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
11%
76°F or higher
85%
76°F or higher 85%
74-75°F 11%
72-73°F 2.1%
70-71°F <1%
$40,880 Vol.
$40,880 Vol.
12 abr 2026
57°F or below
$4,819 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,819 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$7,324 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$10,488 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,942 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,178 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,224 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,788 Vol.
11%
76°F or higher
$2,932 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 79-82°F in Austin on April 12, 2026, under warm and humid conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s aligning with seasonal normals around 80°F, anchoring trader consensus at an 84% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing sufficient sunshine for peak heating despite isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible this afternoon, which carry risks of increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures and boosting the 11% odds on 74-75°F. Overnight lows in the 60s support daytime recovery, with hourly observations and afternoon storm development as key variables ahead of evening resolution at official stations like Austin Bergstrom.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$40,880Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 79-82°F in Austin on April 12, 2026, under warm and humid conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s aligning with seasonal normals around 80°F, anchoring trader consensus at an 84% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing sufficient sunshine for peak heating despite isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible this afternoon, which carry risks of increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures and boosting the 11% odds on 74-75°F. Overnight lows in the 60s support daytime recovery, with hourly observations and afternoon storm development as key variables ahead of evening resolution at official stations like Austin Bergstrom.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$40,880Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 79-82°F in Austin on April 12, 2026, under warm and humid conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s aligning with seasonal normals around 80°F, anchoring trader consensus at an 84% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing sufficient sunshine for peak heating despite isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible this afternoon, which carry risks of increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures and boosting the 11% odds on 74-75°F. Overnight lows in the 60s support daytime recovery, with hourly observations and afternoon storm development as key variables ahead of evening resolution at official stations like Austin Bergstrom.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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