Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station for April 12, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 54-55°F (36.5%) slightly edging 56-57°F (28.5%). This reflects post-frontal conditions under a building high-pressure ridge aloft, featuring northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping boundary layer mixing and limiting peak heating despite ample sunshine. Differentiating factors include model spread on coastal stratus persistence—favoring 54-55°F if low clouds linger into midday—or fuller diurnal warming to 56-57°F under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Uncertainty stems from subtle variations in 850 mb temperatures (around 5-7°C) and timing of any marine layer burn-off; watch morning soundings and NWS updates on April 11 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 36%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 19.4%
58-59°F 10%
$25,427 Vol.
$25,427 Vol.
12 abr 2026
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
36%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 36%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 19.4%
58-59°F 10%
$25,427 Vol.
$25,427 Vol.
12 abr 2026
47°F or below
$2,980 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$1,363 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$1,765 Vol.
4%
52-53°F
$1,709 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$2,007 Vol.
36%
56-57°F
$1,560 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$1,962 Vol.
10%
60-61°F
$4,937 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$1,765 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,758 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$3,632 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station for April 12, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 54-55°F (36.5%) slightly edging 56-57°F (28.5%). This reflects post-frontal conditions under a building high-pressure ridge aloft, featuring northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping boundary layer mixing and limiting peak heating despite ample sunshine. Differentiating factors include model spread on coastal stratus persistence—favoring 54-55°F if low clouds linger into midday—or fuller diurnal warming to 56-57°F under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Uncertainty stems from subtle variations in 850 mb temperatures (around 5-7°C) and timing of any marine layer burn-off; watch morning soundings and NWS updates on April 11 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$25,427Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station for April 12, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 54-55°F (36.5%) slightly edging 56-57°F (28.5%). This reflects post-frontal conditions under a building high-pressure ridge aloft, featuring northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping boundary layer mixing and limiting peak heating despite ample sunshine. Differentiating factors include model spread on coastal stratus persistence—favoring 54-55°F if low clouds linger into midday—or fuller diurnal warming to 56-57°F under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Uncertainty stems from subtle variations in 850 mb temperatures (around 5-7°C) and timing of any marine layer burn-off; watch morning soundings and NWS updates on April 11 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,427Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station for April 12, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 54-55°F (36.5%) slightly edging 56-57°F (28.5%). This reflects post-frontal conditions under a building high-pressure ridge aloft, featuring northwest winds of 10-15 mph capping boundary layer mixing and limiting peak heating despite ample sunshine. Differentiating factors include model spread on coastal stratus persistence—favoring 54-55°F if low clouds linger into midday—or fuller diurnal warming to 56-57°F under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Uncertainty stems from subtle variations in 850 mb temperatures (around 5-7°C) and timing of any marine layer burn-off; watch morning soundings and NWS updates on April 11 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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