Met Office forecasts pin London's highest temperature on April 11 at 13°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers from a passing frontal system, anchoring trader sentiment with 80.5% implied probability on 13°C or below. This follows a brief early April warm anomaly with UK records exceeding 24°C earlier in the week, now displaced by cooler maritime air masses from the Atlantic, limiting solar insolation and surface heating despite mild southwesterly winds and lengthening spring daylight. Model consensus from NOAA ensembles and UKMO charts shows minimal intensification potential, aligning with historical April averages of 13-14°C at Heathrow Airport, the standard resolution site. A premature clearing could edge toward 14°C (21.5%), but hourly updates through afternoon remain key for late shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
13°C or below 79%
14°C 23%
15°C 1.0%
16°C <1%
$154,198 Vol.
$154,198 Vol.
13°C or below
79%
14°C
23%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 79%
14°C 23%
15°C 1.0%
16°C <1%
$154,198 Vol.
$154,198 Vol.
13°C or below
79%
14°C
23%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts pin London's highest temperature on April 11 at 13°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers from a passing frontal system, anchoring trader sentiment with 80.5% implied probability on 13°C or below. This follows a brief early April warm anomaly with UK records exceeding 24°C earlier in the week, now displaced by cooler maritime air masses from the Atlantic, limiting solar insolation and surface heating despite mild southwesterly winds and lengthening spring daylight. Model consensus from NOAA ensembles and UKMO charts shows minimal intensification potential, aligning with historical April averages of 13-14°C at Heathrow Airport, the standard resolution site. A premature clearing could edge toward 14°C (21.5%), but hourly updates through afternoon remain key for late shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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