Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a daytime high of 22°C for Wuhan on April 11, driving the market-implied probability to 99.7% for this outcome as traders incorporate the latest model runs and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and temperatures tracking closely to projections amid typical early-spring conditions. Current readings around 18°C in the morning align with hourly guidance peaking near 22°C under the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but climatologically mild Yangtze River Basin patterns, where April averages hover around 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 23°C or higher, or an unexpected cold front, though model consensus and minimal divergence make deviations unlikely before evening resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,863 Vol.
$67,863 Vol.
11 abr 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,863 Vol.
$67,863 Vol.
11 abr 2026
22°C
$8,734 Vol.
100%
23°C
$4,606 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,281 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,966 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,988 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,270 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,411 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,531 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a daytime high of 22°C for Wuhan on April 11, driving the market-implied probability to 99.7% for this outcome as traders incorporate the latest model runs and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and temperatures tracking closely to projections amid typical early-spring conditions. Current readings around 18°C in the morning align with hourly guidance peaking near 22°C under the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but climatologically mild Yangtze River Basin patterns, where April averages hover around 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 23°C or higher, or an unexpected cold front, though model consensus and minimal divergence make deviations unlikely before evening resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$67,863Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a daytime high of 22°C for Wuhan on April 11, driving the market-implied probability to 99.7% for this outcome as traders incorporate the latest model runs and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and temperatures tracking closely to projections amid typical early-spring conditions. Current readings around 18°C in the morning align with hourly guidance peaking near 22°C under the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but climatologically mild Yangtze River Basin patterns, where April averages hover around 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 23°C or higher, or an unexpected cold front, though model consensus and minimal divergence make deviations unlikely before evening resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$67,863Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a daytime high of 22°C for Wuhan on April 11, driving the market-implied probability to 99.7% for this outcome as traders incorporate the latest model runs and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and temperatures tracking closely to projections amid typical early-spring conditions. Current readings around 18°C in the morning align with hourly guidance peaking near 22°C under the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but climatologically mild Yangtze River Basin patterns, where April averages hover around 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 23°C or higher, or an unexpected cold front, though model consensus and minimal divergence make deviations unlikely before evening resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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