Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which have converged on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport for April 12, driving equal implied probabilities for those outcomes amid minimal divergence. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, following overcast conditions on April 10–11 that capped highs around 22–23°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but inherent forecast uncertainty—tied to timing of peak insolation and potential clearing—keeps 25°C viable at 16% while suppressing hotter outcomes. Watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 38%
24°C 35%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
$12,677 Vol.
$12,677 Vol.
12 abr 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
38%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
6%
23°C 38%
24°C 35%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
$12,677 Vol.
$12,677 Vol.
12 abr 2026
16°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$846 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,193 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,913 Vol.
2%
22°C
$917 Vol.
13%
23°C
$836 Vol.
38%
24°C
$1,120 Vol.
35%
25°C
$1,000 Vol.
14%
26°C or higher
$1,280 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which have converged on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport for April 12, driving equal implied probabilities for those outcomes amid minimal divergence. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, following overcast conditions on April 10–11 that capped highs around 22–23°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but inherent forecast uncertainty—tied to timing of peak insolation and potential clearing—keeps 25°C viable at 16% while suppressing hotter outcomes. Watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$12,677Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which have converged on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport for April 12, driving equal implied probabilities for those outcomes amid minimal divergence. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, following overcast conditions on April 10–11 that capped highs around 22–23°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but inherent forecast uncertainty—tied to timing of peak insolation and potential clearing—keeps 25°C viable at 16% while suppressing hotter outcomes. Watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,677Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which have converged on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport for April 12, driving equal implied probabilities for those outcomes amid minimal divergence. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, following overcast conditions on April 10–11 that capped highs around 22–23°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 23°C, but inherent forecast uncertainty—tied to timing of peak insolation and potential clearing—keeps 25°C viable at 16% while suppressing hotter outcomes. Watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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