Hong Kong Observatory's official daily extract confirms the absolute maximum temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, recorded at key automatic weather stations amid fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity that enabled standard daytime heating under high-pressure influence. This aligns with trader consensus at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability), reflecting real-time observations peaking near that threshold without convective activity or cloud interference, consistent with early April climatology slightly above the 25°C historical average max. Realistic challenges—such as post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or overlooked urban heat island effects at peripheral sites like Chek Lap Kok—remain improbable given rigorous HKO verification protocols, with resolution imminent upon final publication.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,609 Vol.
$239,609 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,609 Vol.
$239,609 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's official daily extract confirms the absolute maximum temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, recorded at key automatic weather stations amid fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity that enabled standard daytime heating under high-pressure influence. This aligns with trader consensus at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability), reflecting real-time observations peaking near that threshold without convective activity or cloud interference, consistent with early April climatology slightly above the 25°C historical average max. Realistic challenges—such as post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or overlooked urban heat island effects at peripheral sites like Chek Lap Kok—remain improbable given rigorous HKO verification protocols, with resolution imminent upon final publication.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes