Tight uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF drives the close market-implied odds for Lagos's highest temperature on April 11, with 34°C (43.5%), 35°C (34.5%), and 36°C (33.5%) leading as NiMet's latest outlook predicts hazy mornings favoring solar heating but isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Lagos and Ogun moderating peaks via cloud cover. Key differentiators include persistent high pressure and fading harmattan residuals enabling radiative warming to 36°C under clear skies, countered by Atlantic sea breeze onshore flows and early rainy season moisture potentially capping at 34°C; urban heat island effects at the resolving Murtala Muhammed International Airport station amplify readings above city averages. Historical April highs average 32-33°C, with recent heat trends supporting the elevated trader consensus. Airport observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 11 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 11 de abril?
34°C 40%
33°C 39%
36°C 33.5%
32°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 abr 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
22%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
35%
36°C
33%
37°C o más
1%
34°C 40%
33°C 39%
36°C 33.5%
32°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 abr 2026
27°C o menos
$696 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$110 Vol.
2%
31°C
$267 Vol.
3%
32°C
$22 Vol.
22%
33°C
$7 Vol.
24%
34°C
$23 Vol.
33%
35°C
$15 Vol.
35%
36°C
$81 Vol.
33%
37°C o más
$104 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF drives the close market-implied odds for Lagos's highest temperature on April 11, with 34°C (43.5%), 35°C (34.5%), and 36°C (33.5%) leading as NiMet's latest outlook predicts hazy mornings favoring solar heating but isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Lagos and Ogun moderating peaks via cloud cover. Key differentiators include persistent high pressure and fading harmattan residuals enabling radiative warming to 36°C under clear skies, countered by Atlantic sea breeze onshore flows and early rainy season moisture potentially capping at 34°C; urban heat island effects at the resolving Murtala Muhammed International Airport station amplify readings above city averages. Historical April highs average 32-33°C, with recent heat trends supporting the elevated trader consensus. Airport observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$2,576Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF drives the close market-implied odds for Lagos's highest temperature on April 11, with 34°C (43.5%), 35°C (34.5%), and 36°C (33.5%) leading as NiMet's latest outlook predicts hazy mornings favoring solar heating but isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Lagos and Ogun moderating peaks via cloud cover. Key differentiators include persistent high pressure and fading harmattan residuals enabling radiative warming to 36°C under clear skies, countered by Atlantic sea breeze onshore flows and early rainy season moisture potentially capping at 34°C; urban heat island effects at the resolving Murtala Muhammed International Airport station amplify readings above city averages. Historical April highs average 32-33°C, with recent heat trends supporting the elevated trader consensus. Airport observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,576Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF drives the close market-implied odds for Lagos's highest temperature on April 11, with 34°C (43.5%), 35°C (34.5%), and 36°C (33.5%) leading as NiMet's latest outlook predicts hazy mornings favoring solar heating but isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Lagos and Ogun moderating peaks via cloud cover. Key differentiators include persistent high pressure and fading harmattan residuals enabling radiative warming to 36°C under clear skies, countered by Atlantic sea breeze onshore flows and early rainy season moisture potentially capping at 34°C; urban heat island effects at the resolving Murtala Muhammed International Airport station amplify readings above city averages. Historical April highs average 32-33°C, with recent heat trends supporting the elevated trader consensus. Airport observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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