Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) that Beijing's highest temperature on April 11 will be 24°C or below, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration showing mid-afternoon readings around 20-21°C amid lingering cool air from early April cold fronts that suppressed April 9 highs to 15°C and April 10 to 20°C. Mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and spring climatology (historical mid-April averages of 20-22°C) limit further warming as solar angles decline. Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS consensus support a peak near 23°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clear skies triggering adiabatic heating, but current atmospheric stability and end-of-day timing render this improbable; final CMA daily report expected soon after midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 11?
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$95,815 Vol.
$95,815 Vol.
11 abr 2026
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$95,815 Vol.
$95,815 Vol.
11 abr 2026
24°C or below
$17,700 Vol.
100%
25°C
$17,193 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12,303 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,498 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,420 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,334 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,493 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,141 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,094 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,907 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) that Beijing's highest temperature on April 11 will be 24°C or below, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration showing mid-afternoon readings around 20-21°C amid lingering cool air from early April cold fronts that suppressed April 9 highs to 15°C and April 10 to 20°C. Mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and spring climatology (historical mid-April averages of 20-22°C) limit further warming as solar angles decline. Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS consensus support a peak near 23°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clear skies triggering adiabatic heating, but current atmospheric stability and end-of-day timing render this improbable; final CMA daily report expected soon after midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$95,815Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) that Beijing's highest temperature on April 11 will be 24°C or below, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration showing mid-afternoon readings around 20-21°C amid lingering cool air from early April cold fronts that suppressed April 9 highs to 15°C and April 10 to 20°C. Mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and spring climatology (historical mid-April averages of 20-22°C) limit further warming as solar angles decline. Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS consensus support a peak near 23°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clear skies triggering adiabatic heating, but current atmospheric stability and end-of-day timing render this improbable; final CMA daily report expected soon after midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$95,815Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) that Beijing's highest temperature on April 11 will be 24°C or below, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration showing mid-afternoon readings around 20-21°C amid lingering cool air from early April cold fronts that suppressed April 9 highs to 15°C and April 10 to 20°C. Mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and spring climatology (historical mid-April averages of 20-22°C) limit further warming as solar angles decline. Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS consensus support a peak near 23°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clear skies triggering adiabatic heating, but current atmospheric stability and end-of-day timing render this improbable; final CMA daily report expected soon after midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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