Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (29%) and 16°C (31%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting AEMET's latest forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 15-17°C amid high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating potential. A recent Atlantic front has driven a sharp cooldown after peaks of 28°C on April 10 and 23°C+ on April 11, introducing cooler mid-level air, northerly winds, and possible light showers that cap daytime highs below historical mid-April averages of 18°C. Model spreads highlight risks of partial clearing boosting temps to 17°C or persistent stratus keeping them at 14-15°C; watch AEMET's daily updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Barajas Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
15°C 33%
16°C 31%
17°C 18%
14°C 10.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
13°C or below
6%
14°C
11%
15°C
33%
16°C
31%
17°C
18%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 33%
16°C 31%
17°C 18%
14°C 10.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
13°C or below
$673 Vol.
6%
14°C
$500 Vol.
11%
15°C
$279 Vol.
33%
16°C
$244 Vol.
31%
17°C
$507 Vol.
18%
18°C
$523 Vol.
5%
19°C
$445 Vol.
3%
20°C
$349 Vol.
1%
21°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$991 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (29%) and 16°C (31%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting AEMET's latest forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 15-17°C amid high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating potential. A recent Atlantic front has driven a sharp cooldown after peaks of 28°C on April 10 and 23°C+ on April 11, introducing cooler mid-level air, northerly winds, and possible light showers that cap daytime highs below historical mid-April averages of 18°C. Model spreads highlight risks of partial clearing boosting temps to 17°C or persistent stratus keeping them at 14-15°C; watch AEMET's daily updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Barajas Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$5,395Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (29%) and 16°C (31%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting AEMET's latest forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 15-17°C amid high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating potential. A recent Atlantic front has driven a sharp cooldown after peaks of 28°C on April 10 and 23°C+ on April 11, introducing cooler mid-level air, northerly winds, and possible light showers that cap daytime highs below historical mid-April averages of 18°C. Model spreads highlight risks of partial clearing boosting temps to 17°C or persistent stratus keeping them at 14-15°C; watch AEMET's daily updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Barajas Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,395Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (29%) and 16°C (31%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting AEMET's latest forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 15-17°C amid high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating potential. A recent Atlantic front has driven a sharp cooldown after peaks of 28°C on April 10 and 23°C+ on April 11, introducing cooler mid-level air, northerly winds, and possible light showers that cap daytime highs below historical mid-April averages of 18°C. Model spreads highlight risks of partial clearing boosting temps to 17°C or persistent stratus keeping them at 14-15°C; watch AEMET's daily updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Barajas Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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