Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport's automated weather station (NIWA/MetService ID 93439)—the market's resolution source—confirm the day's maximum temperature peaked at 20°C around midday under fine skies and light northerlies, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects actual measured data surpassing earlier MetService forecasts of 22°C, likely due to cooler sea breezes tempering diurnal warming in typical autumn conditions, where historical April highs average 16–18°C. With evening cooling underway and no model indications of rebound, probabilities remain locked; only an improbable official data revision from preliminary to final records could challenge this positioning. Final daily summary expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$193,034 Vol.
$193,034 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$193,034 Vol.
$193,034 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport's automated weather station (NIWA/MetService ID 93439)—the market's resolution source—confirm the day's maximum temperature peaked at 20°C around midday under fine skies and light northerlies, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects actual measured data surpassing earlier MetService forecasts of 22°C, likely due to cooler sea breezes tempering diurnal warming in typical autumn conditions, where historical April highs average 16–18°C. With evening cooling underway and no model indications of rebound, probabilities remain locked; only an improbable official data revision from preliminary to final records could challenge this positioning. Final daily summary expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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