MetService's latest forecast projects a 20°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 12 amid remnants of Cyclone Vaianu, driving trader sentiment clustered around 19–20°C with 37% implied probability for 19°C slightly edging 20°C at 30.5%. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain developing midday—under a Heavy Rain Watch from 11am to 11pm—could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, while strong northeasterlies gusting to 90 km/h in exposed areas promote turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, nudging outcomes toward the lower end. A late shift to gale-force southerlies adds potential for sharper cooling. Model consensus holds near 20°C, but inherent short-range uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps probabilities tightly matched; watch for the 9pm forecast update tonight from official agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
21°C 16%
18°C 15%
$30,660 Vol.
$30,660 Vol.
12 abr 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
16%
22°C or higher
4%
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
21°C 16%
18°C 15%
$30,660 Vol.
$30,660 Vol.
12 abr 2026
12°C or below
$1,717 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,379 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,033 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,801 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,908 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,738 Vol.
15%
19°C
$2,396 Vol.
37%
20°C
$1,194 Vol.
29%
21°C
$2,521 Vol.
16%
22°C or higher
$3,398 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast projects a 20°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 12 amid remnants of Cyclone Vaianu, driving trader sentiment clustered around 19–20°C with 37% implied probability for 19°C slightly edging 20°C at 30.5%. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain developing midday—under a Heavy Rain Watch from 11am to 11pm—could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, while strong northeasterlies gusting to 90 km/h in exposed areas promote turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, nudging outcomes toward the lower end. A late shift to gale-force southerlies adds potential for sharper cooling. Model consensus holds near 20°C, but inherent short-range uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps probabilities tightly matched; watch for the 9pm forecast update tonight from official agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$30,660Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast projects a 20°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 12 amid remnants of Cyclone Vaianu, driving trader sentiment clustered around 19–20°C with 37% implied probability for 19°C slightly edging 20°C at 30.5%. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain developing midday—under a Heavy Rain Watch from 11am to 11pm—could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, while strong northeasterlies gusting to 90 km/h in exposed areas promote turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, nudging outcomes toward the lower end. A late shift to gale-force southerlies adds potential for sharper cooling. Model consensus holds near 20°C, but inherent short-range uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps probabilities tightly matched; watch for the 9pm forecast update tonight from official agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,660Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast projects a 20°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 12 amid remnants of Cyclone Vaianu, driving trader sentiment clustered around 19–20°C with 37% implied probability for 19°C slightly edging 20°C at 30.5%. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain developing midday—under a Heavy Rain Watch from 11am to 11pm—could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, while strong northeasterlies gusting to 90 km/h in exposed areas promote turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling, nudging outcomes toward the lower end. A late shift to gale-force southerlies adds potential for sharper cooling. Model consensus holds near 20°C, but inherent short-range uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps probabilities tightly matched; watch for the 9pm forecast update tonight from official agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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