Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data and late-afternoon forecast updates confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C at Tokyo's official observatory station on April 11, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 99.9% implied probability. Clear skies under a persistent high-pressure ridge enabled daytime heating from morning lows around 15°C, peaking mid-afternoon amid light winds, aligning with ensemble model outputs from JMA's MSM and global ECMWF/GFS runs that revised down from earlier 27°C projections due to increased mid-level cloudiness. Historical April norms average 19–20°C highs, making this unseasonably warm but contained. A realistic challenge would require anomalous late-day solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a 26°C reading before midnight resolution, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final JMA records expected shortly after 00:00 JST April 12.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
$228,561 Vol.
$228,561 Vol.
11 abr 2026
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
$228,561 Vol.
$228,561 Vol.
11 abr 2026
25°C
$19,207 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$32,104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data and late-afternoon forecast updates confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C at Tokyo's official observatory station on April 11, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 99.9% implied probability. Clear skies under a persistent high-pressure ridge enabled daytime heating from morning lows around 15°C, peaking mid-afternoon amid light winds, aligning with ensemble model outputs from JMA's MSM and global ECMWF/GFS runs that revised down from earlier 27°C projections due to increased mid-level cloudiness. Historical April norms average 19–20°C highs, making this unseasonably warm but contained. A realistic challenge would require anomalous late-day solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a 26°C reading before midnight resolution, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final JMA records expected shortly after 00:00 JST April 12.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$228,561Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data and late-afternoon forecast updates confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C at Tokyo's official observatory station on April 11, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 99.9% implied probability. Clear skies under a persistent high-pressure ridge enabled daytime heating from morning lows around 15°C, peaking mid-afternoon amid light winds, aligning with ensemble model outputs from JMA's MSM and global ECMWF/GFS runs that revised down from earlier 27°C projections due to increased mid-level cloudiness. Historical April norms average 19–20°C highs, making this unseasonably warm but contained. A realistic challenge would require anomalous late-day solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a 26°C reading before midnight resolution, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final JMA records expected shortly after 00:00 JST April 12.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$228,561Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data and late-afternoon forecast updates confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C at Tokyo's official observatory station on April 11, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 99.9% implied probability. Clear skies under a persistent high-pressure ridge enabled daytime heating from morning lows around 15°C, peaking mid-afternoon amid light winds, aligning with ensemble model outputs from JMA's MSM and global ECMWF/GFS runs that revised down from earlier 27°C projections due to increased mid-level cloudiness. Historical April norms average 19–20°C highs, making this unseasonably warm but contained. A realistic challenge would require anomalous late-day solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a 26°C reading before midnight resolution, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final JMA records expected shortly after 00:00 JST April 12.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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