Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks near 70°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting downslope warming and mostly clear skies. This positioning stems from recent record highs—81°F on April 9 and 80°F on April 10 at Denver International Airport—continuing an anomalous warm pattern after March 2026's record mean temperature of 51.6°F, well above the 47°F April climatological normal. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement for above-normal conditions with low shower risks (20-30%). Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds or a stalled front capping highs below 60°F, though current soundings and forecast confidence indicate scant support for such shifts ahead of evening observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
60°F or higher 99.7%
58-59°F <1%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
$133,210 Vol.
$133,210 Vol.
11 abr 2026
41°F or below
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
60°F or higher 99.7%
58-59°F <1%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
$133,210 Vol.
$133,210 Vol.
11 abr 2026
41°F or below
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,299 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$5,726 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$3,693 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,775 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$9,900 Vol.
<1%
60°F or higher
$102,123 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks near 70°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting downslope warming and mostly clear skies. This positioning stems from recent record highs—81°F on April 9 and 80°F on April 10 at Denver International Airport—continuing an anomalous warm pattern after March 2026's record mean temperature of 51.6°F, well above the 47°F April climatological normal. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement for above-normal conditions with low shower risks (20-30%). Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds or a stalled front capping highs below 60°F, though current soundings and forecast confidence indicate scant support for such shifts ahead of evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volumen
$133,210Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks near 70°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting downslope warming and mostly clear skies. This positioning stems from recent record highs—81°F on April 9 and 80°F on April 10 at Denver International Airport—continuing an anomalous warm pattern after March 2026's record mean temperature of 51.6°F, well above the 47°F April climatological normal. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement for above-normal conditions with low shower risks (20-30%). Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds or a stalled front capping highs below 60°F, though current soundings and forecast confidence indicate scant support for such shifts ahead of evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$133,210Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service guidance projecting peaks near 70°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting downslope warming and mostly clear skies. This positioning stems from recent record highs—81°F on April 9 and 80°F on April 10 at Denver International Airport—continuing an anomalous warm pattern after March 2026's record mean temperature of 51.6°F, well above the 47°F April climatological normal. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement for above-normal conditions with low shower risks (20-30%). Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds or a stalled front capping highs below 60°F, though current soundings and forecast confidence indicate scant support for such shifts ahead of evening observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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