National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project a Houston-area high temperature near 79-82°F on April 13, anchoring trader consensus at 79% implied probability for 80°F or higher amid partly sunny conditions with southeast winds. Recent record highs—86°F at Hobby Airport earlier this week and 82°F on April 9—reflect a persistent warm pattern following the hottest March on record, driven by upper-level ridging suppressing cooler air intrusions. Scattered showers (30-40% chance) pose the main risk for capping peaks at 78-79°F (20% odds), per model spread. Overnight forecast updates from NOAA will refine intensification potential before resolution at official observing sites like IAH or Hobby.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?
80°F or higher 83%
78-79°F 12.7%
76-77°F 1.8%
74-75°F 1.7%
$11,987 Vol.
$11,987 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
13%
80°F or higher
83%
80°F or higher 83%
78-79°F 12.7%
76-77°F 1.8%
74-75°F 1.7%
$11,987 Vol.
$11,987 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
13%
80°F or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project a Houston-area high temperature near 79-82°F on April 13, anchoring trader consensus at 79% implied probability for 80°F or higher amid partly sunny conditions with southeast winds. Recent record highs—86°F at Hobby Airport earlier this week and 82°F on April 9—reflect a persistent warm pattern following the hottest March on record, driven by upper-level ridging suppressing cooler air intrusions. Scattered showers (30-40% chance) pose the main risk for capping peaks at 78-79°F (20% odds), per model spread. Overnight forecast updates from NOAA will refine intensification potential before resolution at official observing sites like IAH or Hobby.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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