National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high temperature of 77-81°F today, April 11, aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus, driving the market's 98% implied probability on 76°F or higher as traders price in ample sunshine following hit-and-miss morning showers. Upper-level ridging and light southerly winds favor diurnal heating after recent frontal passage cleared much of the cloud deck, with current observations already climbing into the 70s by midday. Historical April averages hover near 78°F, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent low clouds or isolated heavy downpours capping peaks at 74-75°F, though model soundings show low likelihood; watch afternoon NWS updates for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
76°F or higher 98.0%
74-75°F 1.3%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,611 Vol.
$24,611 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
98%
76°F or higher 98.0%
74-75°F 1.3%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,611 Vol.
$24,611 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high temperature of 77-81°F today, April 11, aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus, driving the market's 98% implied probability on 76°F or higher as traders price in ample sunshine following hit-and-miss morning showers. Upper-level ridging and light southerly winds favor diurnal heating after recent frontal passage cleared much of the cloud deck, with current observations already climbing into the 70s by midday. Historical April averages hover near 78°F, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent low clouds or isolated heavy downpours capping peaks at 74-75°F, though model soundings show low likelihood; watch afternoon NWS updates for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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