Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
64°F or higher 97.4%
58-59°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$21,608 Vol.
$21,608 Vol.
13 abr 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
97%
64°F or higher 97.4%
58-59°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$21,608 Vol.
$21,608 Vol.
13 abr 2026
45°F or below
$2,092 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,474 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$2,337 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,119 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,297 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$878 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$951 Vol.
1%
64°F or higher
$2,444 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$21,608Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,608Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Denver on April 13 (97.5% implied probability), backed by strong alignment across National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 68-70°F at Denver International Airport. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies and highs well above the April 13 climatological normal of 61°F, following record warmth earlier this week including 80°F on April 10 amid a dry pattern after early-month storms. Model runs show tight clustering with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in adiabatic warming under light southerly flow. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough introducing clouds or a cold front shift, with updated NOAA guidance due within 24 hours potentially refining odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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