Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (36.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting NiMet's 2026 seasonal forecast of above-normal daytime temperatures amid the early rainy season transition, with recent bulletins indicating partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria including Lagos. This genuine uncertainty stems from variable afternoon convection and sea breeze strength, which can moderate peaks by 1°C; clearer intervals favor 35°C, while increased cloud cover tilts toward 33-34°C, consistent with April historical averages near 32-33°C but warmer this year. Official measurements from Ikeja airport will resolve, with NiMet's next outlook expected soon providing updated model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 12 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 12 de abril?
35°C 33%
34°C 23%
33°C 16%
32°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 abr 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
12%
33°C
33%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
7%
37°C o más
1%
35°C 33%
34°C 23%
33°C 16%
32°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 abr 2026
27°C o menos
$674 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$498 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$474 Vol.
1%
30°C
$438 Vol.
2%
31°C
$418 Vol.
5%
32°C
$7 Vol.
12%
33°C
$6 Vol.
33%
34°C
$5 Vol.
37%
35°C
$5 Vol.
33%
36°C
$28 Vol.
7%
37°C o más
$480 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (36.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting NiMet's 2026 seasonal forecast of above-normal daytime temperatures amid the early rainy season transition, with recent bulletins indicating partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria including Lagos. This genuine uncertainty stems from variable afternoon convection and sea breeze strength, which can moderate peaks by 1°C; clearer intervals favor 35°C, while increased cloud cover tilts toward 33-34°C, consistent with April historical averages near 32-33°C but warmer this year. Official measurements from Ikeja airport will resolve, with NiMet's next outlook expected soon providing updated model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$3,034Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (36.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting NiMet's 2026 seasonal forecast of above-normal daytime temperatures amid the early rainy season transition, with recent bulletins indicating partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria including Lagos. This genuine uncertainty stems from variable afternoon convection and sea breeze strength, which can moderate peaks by 1°C; clearer intervals favor 35°C, while increased cloud cover tilts toward 33-34°C, consistent with April historical averages near 32-33°C but warmer this year. Official measurements from Ikeja airport will resolve, with NiMet's next outlook expected soon providing updated model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,034Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (36.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting NiMet's 2026 seasonal forecast of above-normal daytime temperatures amid the early rainy season transition, with recent bulletins indicating partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria including Lagos. This genuine uncertainty stems from variable afternoon convection and sea breeze strength, which can moderate peaks by 1°C; clearer intervals favor 35°C, while increased cloud cover tilts toward 33-34°C, consistent with April historical averages near 32-33°C but warmer this year. Official measurements from Ikeja airport will resolve, with NiMet's next outlook expected soon providing updated model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes