Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.5%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) morning forecast of cloudy and cool-to-warm conditions in the Western Cape, easing to fine in the west with light southerly to south-easterly coastal winds and isolated showers. This setup aligns with April climatological norms of around 24°C daytime highs, but genuine uncertainty persists due to variable morning cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 24°C versus quicker clearing allowing 25°C peaks. Subtle sea breeze strength and upper-level subsidence from a nearby ridge differentiate outcomes, with intraday observations from Cape Town International Airport set to resolve amid model spreads in GFS and local guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 11 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 11 de abril?
24°C 42%
23°C 28%
25°C 13%
26°C 1.5%
$3,728 Vol.
$3,728 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
38%
24°C
42%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 28%
25°C 13%
26°C 1.5%
$3,728 Vol.
$3,728 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
38%
24°C
42%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.5%) for Cape Town's highest temperature today, driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) morning forecast of cloudy and cool-to-warm conditions in the Western Cape, easing to fine in the west with light southerly to south-easterly coastal winds and isolated showers. This setup aligns with April climatological norms of around 24°C daytime highs, but genuine uncertainty persists due to variable morning cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 24°C versus quicker clearing allowing 25°C peaks. Subtle sea breeze strength and upper-level subsidence from a nearby ridge differentiate outcomes, with intraday observations from Cape Town International Airport set to resolve amid model spreads in GFS and local guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes