Trader consensus assigns a 94% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, reflecting strong alignment from Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northwest winds. Recent observations confirm mild Mediterranean spring patterns, with highs of 20-21°C over the past week consistent with historical April averages around 22°C and current morning readings near 19°C building toward afternoon maxima. Model uncertainty remains, however—prolonged cloud cover could cap temperatures at 21°C, while greater insolation or reduced coastal mixing might elevate them to 23°C; official hourly station data will provide definitive resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
22°C 88.5%
23°C 8.3%
24°C or higher 1.9%
21°C <1%
$110,180 Vol.
$110,180 Vol.
21°C
<1%
22°C
89%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
2%
22°C 88.5%
23°C 8.3%
24°C or higher 1.9%
21°C <1%
$110,180 Vol.
$110,180 Vol.
21°C
<1%
22°C
89%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 94% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, reflecting strong alignment from Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northwest winds. Recent observations confirm mild Mediterranean spring patterns, with highs of 20-21°C over the past week consistent with historical April averages around 22°C and current morning readings near 19°C building toward afternoon maxima. Model uncertainty remains, however—prolonged cloud cover could cap temperatures at 21°C, while greater insolation or reduced coastal mixing might elevate them to 23°C; official hourly station data will provide definitive resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes